TRADING OPEN

    NY-18 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $23.4K

    +$594 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    22¢

    Democrat 20-25%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -8¢

    Democrat 15-20%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 20-25%
    		22¢22¢
    $5.9K
    		-5¢—
    2
    Democrat 15-20%
    		22¢22¢
    $5.9K+$165 24h
    		-8¢—
    3
    Democrat 25-30%
    		17¢17¢
    $3.8K+$195 24h
    		+3¢—
    4
    Democrat 0-5%
    		13¢13¢
    $419
    		——
    5
    Democrat 10-15% Hot
    		8¢8¢
    $3.0K+$216 24h
    		-2¢—
    6
    Democrat 5-10% Hot
    		5¢5¢
    $680
    		-6¢—
    7
    Republican Wins
    		5¢5¢
    $519
    		-1¢—
    8
    Democrat 30-35%
    		3¢3¢
    $2.9K+$18 24h
    		-4¢—
    9
    Democrat 35%+
    		2¢2¢
    $260
    		-2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 20-25%
    22%
    22¢-5¢
    2Democrat 15-20%
    22%
    22¢-8¢
    3Democrat 25-30%
    17%
    17¢+3¢
    4Democrat 0-5%
    13%
    13¢—
    5Democrat 10-15%
    8¢-2¢
    6Democrat 5-10%
    5¢-6¢
    7Republican Wins
    5¢-1¢
    8Democrat 30-35%
    3¢-4¢
    9Democrat 35%+
    2¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $23.4K

    Whale Activity

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