TRADING OPEN

    NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $19.5K

    +$63 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    26¢

    Democrat 60-65%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Democrat 55-60%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    126¢26¢
    $2.0K
    -1¢—
    226¢26¢
    $5.9K+$20 24h
    -1¢—
    317¢17¢
    $3.7K
    -4¢—
    414¢14¢
    $1.3K+$33 24h
    -4¢—
    57¢7¢
    $1.7K
    ——
    65¢5¢
    $2.9K
    -4¢—
    74¢4¢
    $489
    -3¢—
    82¢2¢
    $646+$10 24h
    -4¢—
    90¢0¢
    $480
    ——
    100¢0¢
    $400
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 60-65%
    26%
    26¢-1¢
    2Democrat 65-70%
    26%
    26¢-1¢
    3Democrat 70-75%
    17%
    17¢-4¢
    4Democrat 55-60%
    14%
    14¢-4¢
    5Democrat 45-55%
    7¢—
    6Democrat 75-80%
    5¢-4¢
    7Democrat 85%+
    4¢-3¢
    8Democrat 0-45%
    2¢-4¢
    9Democrat 80-85%
    0¢—
    10Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $19.5K

    Whale Activity

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