TRADING OPEN

    NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $16.2K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    38¢

    Democrat 55-60%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -5¢

    Democrat 45-50%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    138¢38¢
    $3.3K
    -1¢—
    221¢21¢
    $2.9K
    -2¢—
    320¢20¢
    $1.4K
    -5¢—
    416¢16¢
    $3.4K
    -4¢—
    53¢3¢
    $689
    -2¢—
    61¢1¢
    $1.1K
    -1¢—
    71¢1¢
    $1.8K
    ——
    80¢0¢
    $484
    ——
    90¢0¢
    $392
    ——
    100¢0¢
    $712
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 55-60%
    38%
    38¢-1¢
    2Democrat 60-65%
    21%
    21¢-2¢
    3Democrat 45-50%
    20%
    20¢-5¢
    4Democrat 50-55%
    16%
    16¢-4¢
    5Democrat 65%+
    3¢-2¢
    6Democrat 40-45%
    1¢-1¢
    7Democrat 0-25%
    1¢—
    8Democrat 35-40%
    0¢—
    9Democrat 25-35%
    0¢—
    10Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $16.2K

    Whale Activity

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