TRADING OPEN

    NY-08 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $16.6K

    +$298 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    29¢

    Democrat 55-60%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -6¢

    Democrat 60-65%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    129¢29¢
    $2.0K
    -1¢—
    221¢21¢
    $6.0K+$238 24h
    -6¢—
    320¢20¢
    $3.2K
    -1¢—
    419¢19¢
    $742+$60 24h
    ——
    58¢8¢
    $2.6K
    -1¢—
    65¢5¢
    $397
    -3¢—
    74¢4¢
    $153
    -5¢—
    84¢4¢
    $490
    -3¢—
    93¢3¢
    $465
    -3¢—
    100¢0¢
    $627
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 55-60%
    29%
    29¢-1¢
    2Democrat 60-65%
    21%
    21¢-6¢
    3Democrat 50-55%
    20%
    20¢-1¢
    4Democrat 45-50%
    19%
    19¢—
    5Democrat 30-40%
    8¢-1¢
    6Democrat 65-70%
    5¢-3¢
    7Democrat 40-45%
    4¢-5¢
    8Democrat 70%+
    4¢-3¢
    9Democrat 0-30%
    3¢-3¢
    10Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $16.6K

    Whale Activity

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