TRADING OPEN

    NY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $19.7K

    +$3.2K (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    26¢

    Democrat 15-20%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -28¢

    Democrat 20-25%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets
    #
    126¢26¢
    $7.4K+$1.7K 24h
    +2¢—
    221¢21¢
    $3.7K+$345 24h
    -17¢—
    318¢18¢
    $2.0K+$241 24h
    -4¢—
    410¢10¢
    $3.2K+$316 24h
    -28¢—
    54¢4¢
    $871+$247 24h
    -3¢—
    64¢4¢
    $1.5K+$113 24h
    -4¢—
    71¢1¢
    $569+$136 24h
    -1¢—
    8
    Democrat 0-5%📈 Trending
    1¢1¢
    $504+$136 24h
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 15-20%
    26%
    26¢+2¢
    2Democrat 10-15%
    21%
    21¢-17¢
    3Democrat 5-10%
    18%
    18¢-4¢
    4Democrat 20-25%
    10¢-28¢
    5Republican Wins
    4¢-3¢
    6Democrat 25-30%
    4¢-4¢
    7Democrat 30%+
    1¢-1¢
    8Democrat 0-5%
    1¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $19.7K

    Whale Activity

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