NY-04 House Election Margin of Victory
NY-04 House Election Margin of Victory Live odds across 8 markets: Democrat 5-10% at 37¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
- Democrat 5-10%: Yes 37¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 10-15%: Yes 32¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 25-30%: Yes 20¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 20-25%: Yes 35¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 0-5%: Yes 26¢ (polymarket)
- Republican Wins: Yes 21¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 15-20%: Yes 23¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 30%+: Yes 21¢ (polymarket)
TRADING OPEN
8sNY-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Total Volume
$172
+$0 (24h)
Active Markets
8
Across 1 platforms
Frontrunner
37¢
Democrat 5-10%
Biggest Mover 24h
-26¢
Democrat 15-20%
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Democrat 5-10% Hot | 37¢ | 37¢ | $19 | -9¢ | — |
| 2 | Democrat 20-25% Hot | 35¢ | 35¢ | $19 | -17¢ | — |
| 3 | Democrat 10-15% Hot | 32¢ | 32¢ | $19 | -14¢ | — |
| 4 | Democrat 0-5% Hot | 26¢ | 26¢ | $19 | -25¢ | — |
| 5 | Democrat 15-20% Hot | 23¢ | 23¢ | $19 | -26¢ | — |
| 6 | Democrat 30%+ Hot | 21¢ | 21¢ | $39 | -25¢ | — |
| 7 |  Republican Wins Hot | 21¢ | 21¢ | $19 | -20¢ | — |
| 8 | Democrat 25-30% Hot | 20¢ | 20¢ | $19 | -24¢ | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsEvent Info
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