TRADING OPEN

    NV-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $16.4K

    +$488 (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    34¢

    Democrat 15-20%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    Democrat 25%+

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets
    #
    134¢34¢
    $2.2K+$19 24h
    -3¢—
    217¢17¢
    $4.1K
    +1¢—
    314¢14¢
    $646
    -9¢—
    414¢14¢
    $1.8K
    -4¢—
    510¢10¢
    $4.3K+$468 24h
    -5¢—
    67¢7¢
    $1.2K
    -3¢—
    72¢2¢
    $1.5K
    -1¢—
    81¢1¢
    $548
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 15-20%
    34%
    34¢-3¢
    2Democrat 10-15%
    17%
    17¢+1¢
    3Democrat 25%+
    14%
    14¢-9¢
    4Democrat 5-10%
    14%
    14¢-4¢
    5Democrat 20-25%
    10¢-5¢
    6Democrat 0-5%
    7¢-3¢
    7Republican 5%+
    2¢-1¢
    8Republican 0-5%
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $16.4K

    Whale Activity

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