TRADING OPEN

    NM-02 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $23.1K

    +$2.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    22¢

    Democrat 15-20%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -8¢

    Republican 5%+

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 15-20%
    		22¢22¢
    $6.2K+$171 24h
    		-2¢—
    2
    Democrat 20-25%
    		21¢21¢
    $4.0K+$140 24h
    		——
    3
    Democrat 10-15%📈 Trending
    		18¢18¢
    $6.2K+$1.7K 24h
    		-6¢—
    4
    Democrat 5-10%
    		17¢17¢
    $3.1K+$120 24h
    		-4¢—
    5
    Democrat 25%+
    		15¢15¢
    $884+$70 24h
    		+5¢—
    6
    Democrat 0-5%
    		3¢3¢
    $1.1K+$50 24h
    		-6¢—
    7
    Republican 0-5%
    		2¢2¢
    $945+$50 24h
    		-4¢—
    8
    Republican 5%+
    		1¢1¢
    $732+$80 24h
    		-8¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 15-20%
    22%
    22¢-2¢
    2Democrat 20-25%
    21%
    21¢—
    3Democrat 10-15%
    18%
    18¢-6¢
    4Democrat 5-10%
    17%
    17¢-4¢
    5Democrat 25%+
    15%
    15¢+5¢
    6Democrat 0-5%
    3¢-6¢
    7Republican 0-5%
    2¢-4¢
    8Republican 5%+
    1¢-8¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $23.1K

    Whale Activity

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