TRADING OPEN

    NM-01 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $11.1K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    29¢

    Democrat 20-25%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -10¢

    Democrat 30-35%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    129¢29¢
    $2.0K
    -1¢—
    223¢23¢
    $3.5K
    -1¢—
    319¢19¢
    $1.5K
    -10¢—
    416¢16¢
    $2.6K
    -8¢—
    57¢7¢
    $392
    -3¢—
    63¢3¢
    $232
    ——
    73¢3¢
    $199
    -2¢—
    82¢2¢
    $215
    -1¢—
    90¢0¢
    $398
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 20-25%
    29%
    29¢-1¢
    2Democrat 25-30%
    23%
    23¢-1¢
    3Democrat 30-35%
    19%
    19¢-10¢
    4Democrat 15-20%
    16%
    16¢-8¢
    5Democrat 40%+
    7¢-3¢
    6Democrat 35-40%
    3¢—
    7Democrat 10-15%
    3¢-2¢
    8Democrat 0-10%
    2¢-1¢
    9Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $11.1K

    Whale Activity

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