TRADING OPEN

    NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $31.7K

    +$1.7K (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    32¢

    Republican 20-25%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +14¢

    Republican 20-25%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    132¢32¢
    $6.9K+$624 24h
    +14¢—
    222¢22¢
    $6.2K+$20 24h
    -6¢—
    3
    Republican 30-35%📈 Trending
    20¢20¢
    $4.7K+$290 24h
    -2¢—
    415¢15¢
    $4.2K+$792 24h
    -6¢—
    513¢13¢
    $4.6K
    ——
    66¢6¢
    $1.3K
    -3¢—
    73¢3¢
    $1.4K
    -2¢—
    81¢1¢
    $1.4K
    -1¢—
    91¢1¢
    $1.0K
    -1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 20-25%
    32%
    32¢+14¢
    2Republican 25-30%
    22%
    22¢-6¢
    3Republican 30-35%
    20%
    20¢-2¢
    4Republican 15-20%
    15%
    15¢-6¢
    5Republican 35-40%
    13%
    13¢—
    6Republican 0-10%
    6¢-3¢
    7Republican 10-15%
    3¢-2¢
    8Republican 40%+
    1¢-1¢
    9Democrat Wins
    1¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $31.7K

    Whale Activity

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