TRADING OPEN

    NJ-03 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $21.5K

    +$1.6K (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    22¢

    Democrat 20-25%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -13¢

    Democrat 25-30%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 20-25%
    		22¢22¢
    $7.4K+$1.0K 24h
    		-7¢—
    2
    Democrat 15-20%
    		21¢21¢
    $3.3K+$512 24h
    		+5¢—
    3
    Democrat 25-30% Hot
    		6¢6¢
    $3.4K+$16 24h
    		-13¢—
    4
    Democrat 10-15%
    		5¢5¢
    $3.6K
    		-3¢—
    5
    Democrat 30-35%
    		5¢5¢
    $1.1K
    		-9¢—
    6
    Democrat 5-10%
    		5¢5¢
    $572
    		-4¢—
    7
    Democrat 35%+
    		5¢5¢
    $613
    		-3¢—
    8
    Republican Wins
    		2¢2¢
    $940+$66 24h
    		-7¢—
    9
    Democrat 0-5%
    		1¢1¢
    $575
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 20-25%
    22%
    22¢-7¢
    2Democrat 15-20%
    21%
    21¢+5¢
    3Democrat 25-30%
    6¢-13¢
    4Democrat 10-15%
    5¢-3¢
    5Democrat 30-35%
    5¢-9¢
    6Democrat 5-10%
    5¢-4¢
    7Democrat 35%+
    5¢-3¢
    8Republican Wins
    2¢-7¢
    9Democrat 0-5%
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $21.5K

    Whale Activity

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