Global Elections

    Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

    Bola Tinubu leads by 48 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. Bola Tinubu#168%
    2. Peter Obi#220%
    3. Atiku Abubakar#32%
    #4 Kashim Shettima2%#5 Seyi Makinde1%+4 more
    Resolves
    Jan 16, 2027
    Volume
    $171.9K
    24h
    $1.8K
    Liquidity
    $115.3K
    Candidates
    9
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi2 venues · 9 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Bola Tinubu68%
    • Peter Obi20%
    • Atiku Abubakar2%
    • Kashim Shettima2%
    • Seyi Makinde1%
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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Atiku Abubakar24h
      4¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Bola Tinubu$99.9K vol68%—kalshi70¢72¢ after fees
    Peter Obi$38.9K vol20%▼ 2kalshi24¢26¢ after fees
    Atiku Abubakar$4.2K vol · 4¢ apart2%▼ 2kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Kashim Shettima$21 vol2%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Seyi Makinde$2.4K vol1%▼ 1Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Rabiu Kwankwaso$7.1K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Omoyele Sowore$9.0K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    Sandy Onor$2.5K vol<1%——
    Rotimi Amaechi$7.9K vol<1%——

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election,…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    kalshiKalshi

    If the winner of the next Nigerian presidential election is Bola Tinubu, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗

    About this market

    Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, January 16, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiCompared across 2 venues

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