Global Elections

    Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

    Helen Zille leads by 23 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. Helen Zille#141%
    2. Herman Mashaba#218%
    3. Lukhona Mnguni#35%
    #4 David Makhura3%#5 Dada Morero3%+3 more
    Resolves
    Nov 17, 2026
    Volume
    $179.6K
    24h
    $6.9K
    Liquidity
    $80.0K
    Candidates
    8
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi2 venues · 8 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Helen Zille41%
    • Herman Mashaba18%
    • Lukhona Mnguni5%
    • David Makhura3%
    • Dada Morero3%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    4 signals
    1. Helen Zille24h
      ▼ 20¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    2. Herman Mashaba24h
      ▲ 11¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    3. Dada Morero24h
      ▼ 11¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    4. Frank Chikane24h
      4¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Helen Zille$82.3K vol41%▼ 20kalshi44¢46¢ after fees
    Herman Mashaba$21.8K vol18%▲ 11kalshi19¢21¢ after fees
    Lukhona Mnguni$1.5K vol5%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US8¢8¢ after fees
    David Makhura$7.3K vol3%▼ 2kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Dada Morero$2.3K vol3%▼ 11kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Loyiso Masuku$22.9K vol2%▼ 3kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    Frank Chikane$37.2K vol · 4¢ apart2%▼ 4kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Kenny Kunene$4.4K vol1%▼ 1kalshi4¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be co…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    kalshiKalshi

    If Helen Zille wins the next Johannesburg mayoral election following the 2026 municipal elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗

    About this market

    Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 17, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiCompared across 2 venues

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