Global Elections

    Next Japanese general election winner?

    Liberal Democratic Party leads by 70 pts · 4 candidates at 5%+

    1. Liberal Democratic Party#176%
    2. Democratic Party for the People#26%
    3. Sanseitō#35%
    #4 Japan Innovation Party5%#5 Constitutional Democratic Party5%+2 more
    Resolves
    Mar 7, 2030
    Volume
    $15.5K
    24h
    $0
    Candidates
    7
    kalshi1 venue · 7 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Liberal Democratic Party76%
    • Democratic Party for the People6%
    • Sanseitō5%
    • Japan Innovation Party5%
    • Constitutional Democratic Party5%
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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Liberal Democratic Party$1.0K vol76%▼ 2kalshi79¢81¢ after fees
    Democratic Party for the People$3.0K vol6%▼ 2kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Sanseitō$2.0K vol5%▼ 2kalshi8¢9¢ after fees
    Japan Innovation Party$3.0K vol5%▼ 2kalshi8¢9¢ after fees
    Constitutional Democratic Party$2.0K vol5%▼ 2kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Democratic Reform Party$2.5K vol4%▼ 1kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Team Mirai$2.0K vol3%▼ 1kalshi4¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, March 7, 2030
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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