Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

    Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut? Live odds across 5 markets: 35%+ at 96¢. Resolves Dec 31, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    • 45%+: Yes 16¢ (polymarket)
    • 40%+: Yes 62¢ (polymarket)
    • 35%+: Yes 96¢ (polymarket)
    • 50%+: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
    • 55%+: Yes 2¢ (polymarket)
    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $7.6K

    +$60 (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    96¢

    35%+

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -15¢

    40%+

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 5
    #
    1
    35%+
    		96¢96¢
    $819
    		——
    2
    40%+
    		62¢62¢
    $2.4K
    		-15¢—
    3
    45%+
    		16¢16¢
    $2.3K+$60 24h
    		+7¢—
    4
    55%+
    		2¢2¢
    $548
    		-2¢—
    5
    50%+
    		0¢0¢
    $1.5K
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    135%+
    96%
    96¢—
    240%+
    62%
    62¢-15¢
    345%+
    16%
    16¢+7¢
    455%+
    2¢-2¢
    550%+
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~129 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $7.6K

    Whale Activity

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