Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner

    ND leads by 3 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. ND#194%
    2. New Democracy#291%
    3. ELAS#37%
    Resolves
    Jul 31, 2027
    Volume
    $35.3K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $134.6K
    Candidates
    10
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi2 venues · 10 markets

    Who’s winning

    • ND94%
    • New Democracy91%
    • ELAS7%
    • PASOK-KINAL2%
    • SYRIZA1%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    ND$10.4K vol94%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US94¢94¢ after fees
    New Democracy$5.7K vol91%▼ 1kalshi93¢94¢ after fees
    ELAS$7.9K vol7%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢7¢ after fees
    PASOK-KINAL$1.8K vol2%▼ 2kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    SYRIZA$2.9K vol1%▼ 2kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    ELPIDA$1.0K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    KKE$1.3K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    NIKI$1.1K vol1%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1¢1¢ after fees
    EL$2.1K vol<1%——
    PE$1.1K vol<1%——

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Parliamentary elections to elect the Hellenic Parliament are scheduled to be held before July 25, 2027. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament as a result of the next Greek parliamentary election. If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Greek government by Decemb…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    kalshiKalshi

    If the winner of the next Greek general election is SYRIZA, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗

    About this market

    Parliamentary elections to elect the Hellenic Parliament are scheduled to be held before July 25, 2027. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament as a result of the next Greek parliamentary election. If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Greek government by December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Greek government. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, July 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshiCompared across 2 venues

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