Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

    December 31 leads by 12 pts · 3 outcomes at 5%+

    1. December 31#193%
    2. By November 20, 2026#281%
    3. November 30#373%
    Resolves
    Jan 14, 2027
    Volume
    $49.7K
    24h
    $6.0K
    Liquidity
    $10.7K
    Outcomes
    4
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US2 venues · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • December 3193%
    • By November 20, 202681%
    • November 3073%
    • November 152%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    4 signals
    1. November 3024h
      ▼ 16¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US
    2. December 3124h
      ▼ 6¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US
    3. November 1524h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    4. November 3024h
      12¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    December 31$5.7K vol93%▼ 6Polymarket US97¢fee unknown
    By November 20, 2026$0 vol81%▼ 1Polymarket US81¢fee unknown
    November 30$22.2K vol · 12¢ apart73%▼ 16Polymarket US85¢fee unknown
    November 15$21.8K vol2%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Polymarket US
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (6.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 6.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descr…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    GPT Sol 6.2+ Released?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (6.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 6.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.2 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-6 Sol or GPT-6.1 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 6.2, such as GPT-6.1 Sol (released September 29, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6.1 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, January 14, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 2 venues

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