Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by...?

    Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by...? Live odds across 16 markets: September 2 at 100¢. Resolves Dec 1, 2026. Not financial advice.

    Resolved

    TRADING OPEN
    8s

    Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by...?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

    Resolved
    Total Volume

    $232.9K

    +$163.2K (24h)

    Active Markets

    16

    Across 2 platforms

    Frontrunner

    100¢

    September 2

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -40¢

    August 31

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    16 markets · Showing 16
    #
    1100¢100¢
    $126.7K+$110.3K 24h
    +25¢
    2100¢100¢
    $14.7K+$14.3K 24h
    +4¢
    3100¢100¢
    $20.8K+$14.0K 24h
    +4¢
    4100¢100¢
    $15.1K+$5.8K 24h
    +4¢
    5
    September 30📈 Trending
    100¢100¢
    $9.3K+$4.5K 24h
    6100¢100¢
    $7.1K+$4.1K 24h
    +4¢
    7
    September 15📈 Trending
    100¢100¢
    $13.6K+$4.0K 24h
    +1¢
    8100¢100¢
    $4.0K+$1.7K 24h
    +4¢
    9100¢100¢
    $1.4K+$799 24h
    +4¢
    10100¢100¢
    $2.8K+$701 24h
    +2¢
    11100¢100¢
    $786+$570 24h
    12100¢100¢
    $799+$395 24h
    +4¢
    13100¢100¢
    $600+$300 24h
    +1¢
    14100¢100¢
    $3.1K
    15
    $8.8K+$1.7K 24h
    -6¢
    16
    $3.3K
    -40¢

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1September 1
    -6¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    Resolved

    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    16
    Platforms
    2
    Total Volume
    $232.9K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...