Science & Tech

    Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on...?

    No release by November 30 leads by 58 pts · 2 outcomes at 5%+

    1. No release by November 30#164%
    2. November 30#26%
    3. November 15#34%
    #4 November 174%#5 November 113%+16 more
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $31.1K
    24h
    $1.3K
    Outcomes
    21
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 32 markets

    Who’s winning

    • No release by November 3064%
    • November 306%
    • November 154%
    • November 174%
    • November 113%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Claim offer 1 / 5

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    3 signals
    1. No release by November 3024h
      ▼ 6¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. November 2424h
      ▼ 5¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. November 3024h
      ▲ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every outcome, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    No release by November 30$12.7K vol64%▼ 6Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US64¢no fee
    November 30$415 vol6%▲ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US10¢no fee
    November 15$526 vol4%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢no fee
    November 17$409 vol4%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US7¢no fee
    November 11$476 vol3%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢no fee
    November 16$414 vol3%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢no fee
    November 13$426 vol3%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢no fee
    November 18$530 vol3%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US5¢no fee
    November 27$874 vol2%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢no fee
    November 26$407 vol2%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US4¢no fee

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

    Loading trades…

    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

    More in Science & Tech

    All Science & Tech