US Election

    Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?

    ↓ 10% leads by 27 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. ↓ 10%#154%
    2. ↑ 15%#227%
    3. ↓ 8%#324%
    #4 ↑ 20%3%#5 ↑ 25%2%
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $32.0K
    24h
    $2.8K
    Candidates
    5
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 6 markets

    Who’s winning

    • ↓ 10%54%
    • ↑ 15%27%
    • ↓ 8%24%
    • ↑ 20%3%
    • ↑ 25%2%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. ↓ 10%24h
      ▼ 14¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. ↑ 15%24h
      ▼ 11¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. ↓ 8%24h
      ▼ 11¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    ↓ 10%$9.4K vol54%▼ 14Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US55¢56¢ after fees
    ↑ 15%$5.4K vol27%▼ 11Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US29¢30¢ after fees
    ↓ 8%$387 vol24%▼ 11Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US33¢34¢ after fees
    ↑ 20%$6.4K vol3%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢4¢ after fees
    ↑ 25%$2.1K vol2%▼ 2Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢3¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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