US Election

    Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?

    30% chance · up 3 pts today

    Yes30%▲ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes31¢32¢ after fees
    No70%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo71¢72¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $11.2K
    24h
    $541
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US1 venue · 1 market

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

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    Signals

    1 signal
    1. Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?24h
      ▲ 3¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes30%▲ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US31¢32¢ after fees
    No70%▼ 3Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US71¢72¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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