New Zealand legislative election winner?
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid part list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Resolves Dec 31, 2027
- Labour Party: Yes 58¢ (kalshi)
- National Party: Yes 43¢ (polymarket)
- Te Pāti Māori: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
- New Zealand First Party: Yes 1¢ (polymarket)
- ACT New Zealand: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
- Green Party: Yes 0¢ (polymarket)
- NZ First: Yes 71¢ (kalshi)
- Green: Yes 69¢ (kalshi)
- ACT: Yes 71¢ (kalshi)
New Zealand legislative election winner?
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid part list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
$7.9K
+$67 (24h)
9
Across 2 platforms
59¢
Labour Party
-40¢
Green
0
None detected
All Markets
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsPrice History
Event Info
Whale Activity
Loading...

