New pandemic in 2026?

    2% chance

    Yes2%kalshiYes3¢4¢ after fees
    No98%kalshiNo98¢99¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2027
    Volume
    $2.4M
    24h
    $576
    Liquidity
    $46.6K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 1 market

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes2%—kalshi3¢4¢ after fees
    No98%—kalshi98¢99¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If any disease becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Fri, January 1, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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