Netanyahu arrested by…?

    4% chance · down 2 pts today

    Yes4%▼ 2Polymarket USYes6¢fee unknown
    No96%▲ 2Polymarket USNo95¢fee unknown
    Resolves
    Jan 14, 2027
    Volume
    $70.2K
    24h
    $245
    Liquidity
    $16.8K
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US3 venues · 2 markets

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

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    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Yes4%▼ 2Polymarket US6¢fee unknown
    No96%▲ 2Polymarket US95¢fee unknown

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Benjamin Netanyahu has been arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally boo…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Netanyahu Arrested?

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    About this market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed; (ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, January 14, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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