TRADING OPEN

    NC-12 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $14.5K

    +$139 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    35¢

    Democrat 55-60%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -15¢

    Democrat 25-35%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    135¢35¢
    $4.9K+$139 24h
    +2¢—
    228¢28¢
    $2.8K
    +1¢—
    311¢11¢
    $1.6K
    -1¢—
    45¢5¢
    $360
    -4¢—
    55¢5¢
    $799
    -3¢—
    65¢5¢
    $979
    -4¢—
    75¢5¢
    $919
    ——
    85¢5¢
    $886
    -15¢—
    94¢4¢
    $731
    -1¢—
    100¢0¢
    $571
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 55-60%
    35%
    35¢+2¢
    2Democrat 50-55%
    28%
    28¢+1¢
    3Democrat 45-50%
    11¢-1¢
    4Democrat 60-65%
    5¢-4¢
    5Democrat 65%+
    5¢-3¢
    6Democrat 35-40%
    5¢-4¢
    7Democrat 40-45%
    5¢—
    8Democrat 25-35%
    5¢-15¢
    9Democrat 0-25%
    4¢-1¢
    10Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $14.5K

    Whale Activity

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