TRADING OPEN
    8s

    National Book Award for Nonfiction

    Resolves Nov 19, 2026
    Total Volume

    $15.1K

    +$0 (24h)

    Active Markets

    11

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    19¢

    Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +19¢

    Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America

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    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America
    19%
    19¢+19¢
    2The War Within a War: The Black Struggle in Vietnam and at Home
    19%
    19¢+19¢
    3Huna: A Memoir of Revolution, Prison, and Becoming
    18%
    18¢+18¢
    4Dangerous, Dirty, Violent, and Young: A Fugitive Family in the Revolutionary Underground
    12%
    12¢+12¢
    5Mother Tongue
    11¢+11¢
    6The Evolution of Fire: Essays on Crisis and Becoming
    +9¢
    7A Dead White: An Argument Against White Paint
    +8¢
    8The Midnight Special: The Secret Prison History of American Music
    +7¢
    9Let the Poets Govern: A Declaration of Freedom
    +7¢
    10Spawning Season: An Experiment in Queer Parenthood
    +4¢
    11Tie
    +2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 19, 2026

    ~57 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    11
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $15.1K

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