MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) Live odds across 10 markets: Republican 25-30% at 25¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
- Republican 50%+: Yes 17¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 20-25%: Yes 22¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 10-20%: Yes 24¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 25-30%: Yes 25¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 0-10%: Yes 19¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 45-50%: Yes 24¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 40-45%: Yes 25¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 30-35%: Yes 18¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat Wins: Yes 2¢ (polymarket)
- Republican 35-40%: Yes 24¢ (polymarket)
TRADING OPEN
8sMS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Total Volume
$70
+$0 (24h)
Active Markets
10
Across 1 platforms
Frontrunner
25¢
Republican 25-30%
Biggest Mover 24h
-26¢
Republican 0-10%
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25¢ | 25¢ | $0 | -15¢ | — | |
| 2 | 25¢ | 25¢ | $0 | -20¢ | — | |
| 3 | 24¢ | 24¢ | $0 | -18¢ | — | |
| 4 | 24¢ | 24¢ | $0 | -19¢ | — | |
| 5 | 24¢ | 24¢ | $0 | -19¢ | — | |
| 6 | 22¢ | 22¢ | $0 | -25¢ | — | |
| 7 | 19¢ | 19¢ | $0 | -26¢ | — | |
| 8 | 18¢ | 18¢ | $0 | -21¢ | — | |
| 9 | 17¢ | 17¢ | $0 | -24¢ | — | |
| 10 | 2¢ | 2¢ | $70 | -1¢ | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsEvent Info
Whale Activity
Loading...