TRADING OPEN

    MS-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $16.3K

    +$1.7K (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    34¢

    Republican 25-30%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    Republican 15-20%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 25-30% Hot
    		34¢34¢
    $4.0K+$273 24h
    		+4¢—
    2
    Republican 20-25%📈 Trending
    		26¢26¢
    $3.1K+$549 24h
    		——
    3
    Republican 30-35%
    		18¢18¢
    $2.3K+$107 24h
    		-7¢—
    4
    Republican 10-15%
    		15¢15¢
    $1.1K+$287 24h
    		+1¢—
    5
    Republican 15-20%
    		7¢7¢
    $2.8K+$117 24h
    		-9¢—
    6
    Republican 0-10%
    		3¢3¢
    $1.3K+$79 24h
    		-2¢—
    7
    Republican 35-40%
    		1¢1¢
    $645+$93 24h
    		-9¢—
    8
    Democrat Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $387+$79 24h
    		-1¢—
    9
    Republican 40%+
    		0¢0¢
    $679+$131 24h
    		-6¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 25-30%
    34%
    34¢+4¢
    2Republican 20-25%
    26%
    26¢—
    3Republican 30-35%
    18%
    18¢-7¢
    4Republican 10-15%
    15%
    15¢+1¢
    5Republican 15-20%
    7¢-9¢
    6Republican 0-10%
    3¢-2¢
    7Republican 35-40%
    1¢-9¢
    8Democrat Wins
    0¢-1¢
    9Republican 40%+
    0¢-6¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $16.3K

    Whale Activity

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