MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) Live odds across 10 markets: Democrat 0-5% at 35¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
- Democrat 30-35%: Yes 22¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 20-25%: Yes 23¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 40-45%: Yes 20¢ (polymarket)
- Republican Wins: Yes 8¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 0-5%: Yes 35¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 5-15%: Yes 24¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 15-20%: Yes 23¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 25-30%: Yes 27¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 35-40%: Yes 28¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 45%+: Yes 22¢ (polymarket)
TRADING OPEN
8sMS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Total Volume
$665
+$645 (24h)
Active Markets
10
Across 1 platforms
Frontrunner
35¢
Democrat 0-5%
Biggest Mover 24h
-37¢
Democrat 40-45%
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35¢ | 35¢ | $52+$52 24h | -31¢ | — | |
| 2 | 28¢ | 28¢ | $52+$52 24h | -5¢ | — | |
| 3 | 27¢ | 27¢ | $52+$52 24h | -8¢ | — | |
| 4 |  Democrat 5-15% Hot | 24¢ | 24¢ | $72+$52 24h | -2¢ | — |
| 5 | 23¢ | 23¢ | $102+$102 24h | -18¢ | — | |
| 6 | 23¢ | 23¢ | $52+$52 24h | -22¢ | — | |
| 7 | 22¢ | 22¢ | $142+$142 24h | -28¢ | — | |
| 8 | 22¢ | 22¢ | $37+$37 24h | -8¢ | — | |
| 9 | 20¢ | 20¢ | $52+$52 24h | -37¢ | — | |
| 10 | 8¢ | 8¢ | $52+$52 24h | -1¢ | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsEvent Info
Whale Activity
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