TRADING OPEN

    MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $25.1K

    +$1.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    31¢

    Democrat 30-35%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +7¢

    Democrat 25-30%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 30-35%
    		31¢31¢
    $5.1K+$313 24h
    		-5¢—
    2
    Democrat 25-30%
    		28¢28¢
    $12.1K+$647 24h
    		+7¢—
    3
    Democrat 35-40%
    		15¢15¢
    $2.2K
    		-3¢—
    4
    Democrat 20-25%
    		14¢14¢
    $2.2K+$100 24h
    		——
    5
    Democrat 15-20%
    		6¢6¢
    $1.1K
    		-3¢—
    6
    Democrat 40-45%
    		6¢6¢
    $603
    		-6¢—
    7
    Democrat 45%+
    		4¢4¢
    $432
    		-3¢—
    8
    Democrat 5-15%
    		0¢0¢
    $360
    		——
    9
    Republican Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $432
    		——
    10
    Democrat 0-5%
    		0¢0¢
    $577
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 30-35%
    31%
    31¢-5¢
    2Democrat 25-30%
    28%
    28¢+7¢
    3Democrat 35-40%
    15%
    15¢-3¢
    4Democrat 20-25%
    14%
    14¢—
    5Democrat 15-20%
    6¢-3¢
    6Democrat 40-45%
    6¢-6¢
    7Democrat 45%+
    4¢-3¢
    8Democrat 5-15%
    0¢—
    9Republican Wins
    0¢—
    10Democrat 0-5%
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $25.1K

    Whale Activity

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