TRADING OPEN

    MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $27.5K

    +$60 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    Republican 25-30%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -6¢

    Republican 5-15%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    128¢28¢
    $7.9K
    ——
    219¢19¢
    $6.2K
    -2¢—
    3
    Republican 30-35%📈 Trending
    18¢18¢
    $5.3K+$60 24h
    ——
    4
    Republican 15-20%📈 Trending
    9¢9¢
    $2.3K
    ——
    56¢6¢
    $1.8K
    -4¢—
    64¢4¢
    $951
    -6¢—
    74¢4¢
    $844
    -2¢—
    83¢3¢
    $859
    -2¢—
    91¢1¢
    $677
    ——
    100¢0¢
    $639
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 25-30%
    28%
    28¢—
    2Republican 20-25%
    19%
    19¢-2¢
    3Republican 30-35%
    18%
    18¢—
    4Republican 15-20%
    9¢—
    5Republican 35-40%
    6¢-4¢
    6Republican 5-15%
    4¢-6¢
    7Republican 45%+
    4¢-2¢
    8Republican 40-45%
    3¢-2¢
    9Republican 0-5%
    1¢—
    10Democrat Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $27.5K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...