TRADING OPEN

    MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $16.4K

    +$1.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    Republican 40-45%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -14¢

    Republican 0-20%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    128¢28¢
    $5.4K+$145 24h
    ——
    2
    Republican 35-40%📈 Trending
    24¢24¢
    $3.2K+$79 24h
    -4¢—
    320¢20¢
    $2.2K+$181 24h
    +1¢—
    4
    Republican 50-55%📈 Trending
    19¢19¢
    $2.0K+$385 24h
    -8¢—
    57¢7¢
    $541+$51 24h
    -14¢—
    6
    Democrat Wins📈 Trending
    7¢7¢
    $424+$50 24h
    -11¢—
    7
    Republican 60%+📈 Trending
    3¢3¢
    $794+$90 24h
    +1¢—
    82¢2¢
    $483+$31 24h
    -5¢—
    92¢2¢
    $690+$31 24h
    -7¢—
    101¢1¢
    $523+$31 24h
    -3¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 40-45%
    28%
    28¢—
    2Republican 35-40%
    24%
    24¢-4¢
    3Republican 45-50%
    20%
    20¢+1¢
    4Republican 50-55%
    19%
    19¢-8¢
    5Republican 0-20%
    7¢-14¢
    6Democrat Wins
    7¢-11¢
    7Republican 60%+
    3¢+1¢
    8Republican 20-30%
    2¢-5¢
    9Republican 55-60%
    2¢-7¢
    10Republican 30-35%
    1¢-3¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $16.4K

    Whale Activity

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