TRADING OPEN

    MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $18.0K

    +$809 (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    63¢

    Republican 30%+

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -7¢

    Republican 10-15%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets
    #
    163¢63¢
    $7.2K+$447 24h
    +2¢—
    219¢19¢
    $2.1K+$82 24h
    +1¢—
    313¢13¢
    $3.4K+$84 24h
    -3¢—
    45¢5¢
    $968+$34 24h
    -4¢—
    54¢4¢
    $1.5K+$34 24h
    ——
    62¢2¢
    $840+$34 24h
    -4¢—
    72¢2¢
    $1.2K+$34 24h
    -2¢—
    81¢1¢
    $900+$62 24h
    -7¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 30%+
    63%
    63¢+2¢
    2Republican 25-30%
    19%
    19¢+1¢
    3Republican 20-25%
    13%
    13¢-3¢
    4Republican 15-20%
    5¢-4¢
    5Democrat Wins
    4¢—
    6Republican 0-5%
    2¢-4¢
    7Republican 5-10%
    2¢-2¢
    8Republican 10-15%
    1¢-7¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $18.0K

    Whale Activity

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