TRADING OPEN

    MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $13.4K

    +$74 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    25¢

    Democrat 45-50%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -15¢

    Democrat 60%+

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    125¢25¢
    $1.4K
    -3¢—
    224¢24¢
    $1.6K
    +6¢—
    321¢21¢
    $3.6K
    ——
    414¢14¢
    $3.0K
    ——
    513¢13¢
    $476
    -15¢—
    65¢5¢
    $845+$74 24h
    +2¢—
    75¢5¢
    $944
    -2¢—
    83¢3¢
    $297
    -2¢—
    93¢3¢
    $767
    -2¢—
    100¢0¢
    $465
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 45-50%
    25%
    25¢-3¢
    2Democrat 50-55%
    24%
    24¢+6¢
    3Democrat 40-45%
    21%
    21¢—
    4Democrat 35-40%
    14%
    14¢—
    5Democrat 60%+
    13%
    13¢-15¢
    6Democrat 30-35%
    5¢+2¢
    7Democrat 0-20%
    5¢-2¢
    8Democrat 20-30%
    3¢-2¢
    9Democrat 55-60%
    3¢-2¢
    10Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $13.4K

    Whale Activity

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