Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? Live odds across 7 markets: <4m sq km at 55¢. Resolves Oct 1, 2026. Not financial advice.
Resolves Oct 1, 2026
- 4.6-4.8m sq km: Yes 5¢ (polymarket)
- 4.2-4.4m sq km: Yes 14¢ (polymarket)
- 4.0-4.2m sq km: Yes 23¢ (polymarket)
- 4.8-5m sq km: Yes 3¢ (polymarket)
- 4.4-4.6m sq km: Yes 10¢ (polymarket)
- 5m+ sq km: Yes 4¢ (polymarket)
- <4m sq km: Yes 55¢ (polymarket)
LIVE
8sMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Resolves Oct 1, 2026
Total Volume
$55.5K
+$231 (24h)
Active Markets
7
Across 1 platforms
Frontrunner
50¢
<4m sq km
Biggest Mover 24h
-7¢
4.2-4.4m sq km
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50¢ | 55¢ | $27.7K | -5¢ | — | |
| 2 |  4.0-4.2m sq km📈 Trending | 21¢ | 23¢ | $4.9K+$20 24h | -3¢ | — |
| 3 | 4.2-4.4m sq km📈 Trending | 12¢ | 14¢ | $1.7K+$57 24h | -7¢ | — |
| 4 | 4.4-4.6m sq km📈 Trending | 7¢ | 10¢ | $2.0K | -5¢ | — |
| 5 | 4.6-4.8m sq km Hot | 5¢ | 5¢ | $3.6K+$154 24h | -1¢ | — |
| 6 | 5m+ sq km📈 Trending | 3¢ | 4¢ | $13.8K | -2¢ | — |
| 7 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $1.8K | — | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsPrice History
Event Info
Whale Activity
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