Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? Live odds across 7 markets: 4.4-4.6m sq km at 37¢. Resolves Oct 1, 2026. Not financial advice.
Resolves Oct 1, 2026
- 4.6-4.8m sq km: Yes 28¢ (polymarket)
- 4.0-4.2m sq km: Yes 8¢ (polymarket)
- <4m sq km: Yes 8¢ (polymarket)
- 4.2-4.4m sq km: Yes 17¢ (polymarket)
- 4.8-5m sq km: Yes 6¢ (polymarket)
- 5m+ sq km: Yes 4¢ (polymarket)
- 4.4-4.6m sq km: Yes 37¢ (polymarket)
TRADING OPEN
8sMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Resolves Oct 1, 2026
Total Volume
$68.9K
+$215 (24h)
Active Markets
7
Across 1 platforms
Frontrunner
37¢
4.4-4.6m sq km
Biggest Mover 24h
-18¢
4.6-4.8m sq km
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  4.4-4.6m sq km Hot | 37¢ | 37¢ | $3.1K | -10¢ | — |
| 2 | 28¢ | 28¢ | $7.0K+$135 24h | -18¢ | — | |
| 3 | 17¢ | 17¢ | $3.1K | -3¢ | — | |
| 4 | 8¢ | 8¢ | $30.9K+$30 24h | -1¢ | — | |
| 5 | 4.0-4.2m sq km Hot | 8¢ | 8¢ | $6.7K+$50 24h | -7¢ | — |
| 6 | 6¢ | 6¢ | $3.6K | -3¢ | — | |
| 7 | 4¢ | 4¢ | $14.5K | -1¢ | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsEvent Info
Whale Activity
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