Movies

    Miles Morales live-action film actor?

    Caleb McLaughlin leads by 8 pts · 6 outcomes at 5%+

    1. Caleb McLaughlin#120%
    2. Dallas Dupree Young#212%
    3. Justice Smith#39%
    #4 Tyler James Williams8%#5 Alex R. Hibbert6%+2 more
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $12.7K
    24h
    $145
    Liquidity
    $4.5K
    Outcomes
    7
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 7 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Caleb McLaughlin20%
    • Dallas Dupree Young12%
    • Justice Smith9%
    • Tyler James Williams8%
    • Alex R. Hibbert6%
    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Justice Smith24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Caleb McLaughlin24h
      12¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    3. Miles Brown24h
      12¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    4. Myles Truitt24h
      9¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    5. Dallas Dupree Young24h
      8¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi

    Every outcome, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    Caleb McLaughlin$4.6K vol · 12¢ apart20%▲ 1kalshi21¢23¢ after fees
    Dallas Dupree Young$2.8K vol · 8¢ apart12%—kalshi21¢23¢ after fees
    Justice Smith$293 vol9%▼ 4kalshi13¢14¢ after fees
    Tyler James Williams$152 vol8%▼ 1kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Alex R. Hibbert$3.2K vol · 4¢ apart6%▲ 1kalshi16¢17¢ after fees
    Miles Brown$1.3K vol · 12¢ apart6%▼ 1kalshi15¢16¢ after fees
    Myles Truitt$398 vol · 9¢ apart3%▼ 2kalshi10¢11¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Caleb McLaughlin12¢buy kalshi
    • Miles Brown12¢buy kalshi
    • Myles Truitt9¢buy kalshi
    • Dallas Dupree Young8¢buy kalshi
    • Alex R. Hibbert4¢buy kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same outcome, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Caleb McLaughlin performs/ is announced as Miles Morales in The first Marvel Studios live-action film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe to feature Miles Morales, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Miles Morales in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Actors announced to play the character in animated films or TV series will not qualify. Only live-action feature film castings will qualify. If more than one actor is announced to portray Miles Morales in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Miles Morales in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Actors announced to play the character in animated films or TV series will not qualify. Only live-action feature film castings will qualify. If more than one actor is announced to portray Miles Morales in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal role of the character will qualify. Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character, and actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles, will not qualify. If no actor is announced as the live-action Miles Morales within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No actor chosen by end of 2027". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sony Pictures, Marvel, their parent companies, or another authorized representative of the Spider-Man franchise. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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