TRADING OPEN

    MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $18.0K

    +$3.4K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    32¢

    Republican 25-30%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    Republican 5-15%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 25-30%
    		32¢32¢
    $3.6K+$1.4K 24h
    		+5¢—
    2
    Republican 20-25%
    		30¢30¢
    $3.1K+$382 24h
    		+6¢—
    3
    Republican 30-35%
    		16¢16¢
    $2.7K+$127 24h
    		-8¢—
    4
    Republican 15-20%
    		14¢14¢
    $1.7K+$1.1K 24h
    		-3¢—
    5
    Republican 40-45%
    		4¢4¢
    $777+$50 24h
    		-8¢—
    6
    Republican 35-40%
    		3¢3¢
    $2.9K+$56 24h
    		-4¢—
    7
    Democrat Wins
    		1¢1¢
    $1.3K+$50 24h
    		-6¢—
    8
    Republican 45%+
    		1¢1¢
    $696+$100 24h
    		-9¢—
    9
    Republican 5-15%
    		1¢1¢
    $658+$165 24h
    		-9¢—
    10
    Republican 0-5%
    		0¢0¢
    $546+$50 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 25-30%
    32%
    32¢+5¢
    2Republican 20-25%
    30%
    30¢+6¢
    3Republican 30-35%
    16%
    16¢-8¢
    4Republican 15-20%
    14%
    14¢-3¢
    5Republican 40-45%
    4¢-8¢
    6Republican 35-40%
    3¢-4¢
    7Democrat Wins
    1¢-6¢
    8Republican 45%+
    1¢-9¢
    9Republican 5-15%
    1¢-9¢
    10Republican 0-5%
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $18.0K

    Whale Activity

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