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    8s

    Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026
    Total Volume

    $7.5M

    +$3.3K (24h)

    Active Markets

    7

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    99¢

    ↑2k

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +14¢

    ↑3k

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    7 markets · Showing 7
    #24H
    1
    ↑2k
    		99¢99¢
    $45.4K+$1 24h
    		——
    2
    ↑3k
    		79¢79¢
    $52.5K+$2.1K 24h
    		+14¢—
    3
    ↑4k
    		28¢29¢
    $171.0K+$130 24h
    		——
    4
    ↑5k
    		16¢17¢
    $215.5K+$132 24h
    		+2¢—
    5
    ↑7.5k
    		14¢14¢
    $174.6K+$217 24h
    		——
    6
    ↑10k
    		10¢11¢
    $6.5M+$397 24h
    		-1¢—
    7
    ↑12.5k
    		9¢11¢
    $345.2K+$321 24h
    		+4¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1↑2k
    99%
    99¢—
    2↑3k
    79%
    79¢+14¢
    3↑4k
    28%
    28¢—
    4↑5k
    16%
    16¢+2¢
    5↑7.5k
    14%
    14¢—
    6↑10k
    10¢-1¢
    7↑12.5k
    9¢+4¢

    Price History

    ↑2k↑3k↑4k↑5k
    May 13 10:00May 14 13:00May 15 17:00May 16 20:00May 17 23:00May 19 08:250.0%25.0%50.0%75.0%100.0%

    Related reading

    External
    Culture

    Measles Cases and Outbreaks - CDC

    1 minUnknown
    Culture

    Measles, Indigenous (Week 16) Weekly cases* of notifiable diseases, United States, U.S. Territories, and Non-U.S. Residents week ending April 25, 2026

    1 minUnknown
    Culture

    Tracking measles cases in the United States through maps and charts | CNN

    1 minUnknown
    Culture

    CDC warns additional measles cases in US are expected amid upcoming travel season

    1 minABC News
    Culture

    Tracking U.S. Measles 2026: 1,800 Cases Put Elimination Status at Risk | National News | U.S. News

    1 minUnknown
    Culture

    Measles continues to spread in US

    1 minSara Kellner
    Culture

    U.S. closes in on 1,000 measles cases in first two months of 2026

    1 minUnknown

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Dec 31, 2026

    ~226 days remaining
    Category
    Culture
    Markets
    7
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $7.5M

    Whale Activity

    No whale trades detected yet

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 23.4% in 24h

      ↑3k · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 60.0% in 24h

      ↑12.5k · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 8:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 21.4% in 24h

      ↑5k · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 14.3% in 24h

      ↑5k · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 19, 7:00 AM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 40.0% in 24h

      ↑12.5k · Polymarket