TRADING OPEN

    MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $17.1K

    +$516 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    34¢

    Democrat 60-65%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -12¢

    Democrat 40-50%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    134¢34¢
    $3.1K+$346 24h
    +1¢—
    225¢25¢
    $3.9K
    -9¢—
    321¢21¢
    $3.3K
    -1¢—
    410¢10¢
    $1.5K+$170 24h
    -12¢—
    58¢8¢
    $894
    -9¢—
    66¢6¢
    $671
    -12¢—
    75¢5¢
    $1.9K
    ——
    85¢5¢
    $603
    -5¢—
    94¢4¢
    $770
    ——
    100¢0¢
    $500
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 60-65%
    34%
    34¢+1¢
    2Democrat 65-70%
    25%
    25¢-9¢
    3Democrat 55-60%
    21%
    21¢-1¢
    4Democrat 40-50%
    10¢-12¢
    5Democrat 75-80%
    8¢-9¢
    6Democrat 70-75%
    6¢-12¢
    7Democrat 0-40%
    5¢—
    8Democrat 80%+
    5¢-5¢
    9Democrat 50-55%
    4¢—
    10Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $17.1K

    Whale Activity

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