MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory
MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory Live odds across 10 markets: Democrat 80-85% at 32¢. Resolves Nov 3, 2026. Not financial advice.
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
- Democrat 60-65%: Yes 22¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 85-90%: Yes 16¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 0-50%: Yes 21¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 65-70%: Yes 26¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 75-80%: Yes 25¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 70-75%: Yes 21¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 90%+: Yes 25¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 80-85%: Yes 32¢ (polymarket)
- Democrat 50-60%: Yes 32¢ (polymarket)
- Republican Wins: Yes 21¢ (polymarket)
TRADING OPEN
8sMD-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Total Volume
$259
+$0 (24h)
Active Markets
10
Across 1 platforms
Frontrunner
32¢
Democrat 80-85%
Biggest Mover 24h
-44¢
Democrat 60-65%
Arb Opportunities
0
None detected
All Markets
| # | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32¢ | 32¢ | $0 | -5¢ | — | |
| 2 | 32¢ | 32¢ | $0 | -30¢ | — | |
| 3 | 26¢ | 26¢ | $0 | -28¢ | — | |
| 4 |  Democrat 75-80% Hot | 25¢ | 25¢ | $20 | -41¢ | — |
| 5 | 25¢ | 25¢ | $0 | -14¢ | — | |
| 6 | 22¢ | 22¢ | $0 | -44¢ | — | |
| 7 | 21¢ | 21¢ | $239 | +16¢ | — | |
| 8 | 21¢ | 21¢ | $0 | -24¢ | — | |
| 9 | 21¢ | 21¢ | $0 | -23¢ | — | |
| 10 | 16¢ | 16¢ | $0 | -29¢ | — |
Implied Probability
Consensus across platformsEvent Info
Whale Activity
Loading...