TRADING OPEN

    MD-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $24.6K

    +$60 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    Democrat 80-85%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -10¢

    Democrat 80-85%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    128¢28¢
    $4.4K+$20 24h
    -10¢—
    222¢22¢
    $3.4K+$40 24h
    -6¢—
    319¢19¢
    $3.2K
    +1¢—
    45¢5¢
    $1.2K
    -3¢—
    54¢4¢
    $2.2K
    -3¢—
    64¢4¢
    $2.8K
    -9¢—
    70¢0¢
    $664
    ——
    80¢0¢
    $3.0K
    ——
    90¢0¢
    $3.1K
    ——
    100¢0¢
    $683
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 80-85%
    28%
    28¢-10¢
    2Democrat 85-90%
    22%
    22¢-6¢
    3Democrat 75-80%
    19%
    19¢+1¢
    4Democrat 90%+
    5¢-3¢
    5Democrat 70-75%
    4¢-3¢
    6Democrat 65-70%
    4¢-9¢
    7Democrat 0-50%
    0¢—
    8Democrat 60-65%
    0¢—
    9Democrat 50-60%
    0¢—
    10Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $24.6K

    Whale Activity

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