TRADING OPEN

    MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $12.9K

    +$522 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    25¢

    Republican 9-12%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -4¢

    Republican 3-6%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 9-12%
    		25¢25¢
    $1.9K+$212 24h
    		——
    2
    Republican 12-15% Hot
    		23¢23¢
    $2.4K+$118 24h
    		-1¢—
    3
    Republican 15-18% Hot
    		21¢21¢
    $4.6K+$16 24h
    		-1¢—
    4
    Republican 6-9%📈 Trending
    		20¢20¢
    $1.1K+$85 24h
    		+1¢—
    5
    Republican 18-21%
    		8¢8¢
    $1.2K+$15 24h
    		-2¢—
    6
    Republican 3-6%
    		5¢5¢
    $317+$15 24h
    		-4¢—
    7
    Democrat 0-3%
    		4¢4¢
    $420+$15 24h
    		-4¢—
    8
    Democrat 3%+
    		4¢4¢
    $364+$16 24h
    		-3¢—
    9
    Republican 0-3%
    		2¢2¢
    $248+$15 24h
    		-2¢—
    10
    Republican 21%+
    		2¢2¢
    $264+$15 24h
    		-1¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 9-12%
    25%
    25¢—
    2Republican 12-15%
    23%
    23¢-1¢
    3Republican 15-18%
    21%
    21¢-1¢
    4Republican 6-9%
    20%
    20¢+1¢
    5Republican 18-21%
    8¢-2¢
    6Republican 3-6%
    5¢-4¢
    7Democrat 0-3%
    4¢-4¢
    8Democrat 3%+
    4¢-3¢
    9Republican 0-3%
    2¢-2¢
    10Republican 21%+
    2¢-1¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $12.9K

    Whale Activity

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