TRADING OPEN

    MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $18.1K

    +$165 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    Democrat 30-35%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -6¢

    Democrat 20-25%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    128¢28¢
    $2.7K
    -1¢—
    219¢19¢
    $3.6K+$70 24h
    +5¢—
    316¢16¢
    $4.2K+$95 24h
    -1¢—
    416¢16¢
    $1.1K
    -6¢—
    58¢8¢
    $869
    -4¢—
    67¢7¢
    $2.9K
    -4¢—
    75¢5¢
    $734
    -1¢—
    84¢4¢
    $1.2K
    -3¢—
    93¢3¢
    $337
    -4¢—
    100¢0¢
    $402
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 30-35%
    28%
    28¢-1¢
    2Democrat 35-40%
    19%
    19¢+5¢
    3Democrat 25-30%
    16%
    16¢-1¢
    4Democrat 20-25%
    16%
    16¢-6¢
    5Democrat 0-5%
    8¢-4¢
    6Democrat 40-45%
    7¢-4¢
    7Democrat 45%+
    5¢-1¢
    8Democrat 5-15%
    4¢-3¢
    9Democrat 15-20%
    3¢-4¢
    10Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $18.1K

    Whale Activity

    Loading...