TRADING OPEN

    MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $16.7K

    +$180 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    Democrat 30-35%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    Democrat 0-5%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 30-35%
    		28¢28¢
    $2.7K
    		-1¢—
    2
    Democrat 35-40%
    		20¢20¢
    $3.4K
    		-1¢—
    3
    Democrat 25-30%
    		14¢14¢
    $4.1K
    		-5¢—
    4
    Democrat 40-45%
    		8¢8¢
    $2.1K
    		——
    5
    Democrat 0-5%
    		6¢6¢
    $869
    		-9¢—
    6
    Democrat 45%+
    		5¢5¢
    $734
    		——
    7
    Democrat 20-25% Hot
    		5¢5¢
    $864+$180 24h
    		-4¢—
    8
    Democrat 5-15%
    		3¢3¢
    $1.2K
    		-3¢—
    9
    Democrat 15-20%
    		3¢3¢
    $337
    		-5¢—
    10
    Republican Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $402
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 30-35%
    28%
    28¢-1¢
    2Democrat 35-40%
    20%
    20¢-1¢
    3Democrat 25-30%
    14%
    14¢-5¢
    4Democrat 40-45%
    8¢—
    5Democrat 0-5%
    6¢-9¢
    6Democrat 45%+
    5¢—
    7Democrat 20-25%
    5¢-4¢
    8Democrat 5-15%
    3¢-3¢
    9Democrat 15-20%
    3¢-5¢
    10Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~20 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $16.7K

    Whale Activity

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