TRADING OPEN

    Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $12.9K

    +$2.1K (24h)

    Active Markets

    9

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    30¢

    Republican 0-5%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -17¢

    Republican 5-10%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    9 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 0-5%
    		30¢30¢
    $1.4K+$1.1K 24h
    		+9¢—
    2
    Republican 5-10%
    		22¢22¢
    $2.0K+$125 24h
    		-17¢—
    3
    Republican 10-15%
    		18¢18¢
    $2.9K+$118 24h
    		-8¢—
    4
    Republican 20-25%
    		12¢12¢
    $3.3K+$95 24h
    		-5¢—
    5
    Republican 15-20%
    		11¢11¢
    $1.5K+$210 24h
    		-8¢—
    6
    Democrat Wins
    		8¢8¢
    $382+$195 24h
    		-12¢—
    7
    Republican 25-30%
    		3¢3¢
    $261+$100 24h
    		-7¢—
    8
    Republican 30-35%
    		3¢3¢
    $251+$77 24h
    		-4¢—
    9
    Republican 35%+ Hot
    		2¢2¢
    $832+$65 24h
    		-8¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 0-5%
    30%
    30¢+9¢
    2Republican 5-10%
    22%
    22¢-17¢
    3Republican 10-15%
    18%
    18¢-8¢
    4Republican 20-25%
    12%
    12¢-5¢
    5Republican 15-20%
    11¢-8¢
    6Democrat Wins
    8¢-12¢
    7Republican 25-30%
    3¢-7¢
    8Republican 30-35%
    3¢-4¢
    9Republican 35%+
    2¢-8¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    9
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $12.9K

    Whale Activity

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