Global Elections

    Lebanese general election winner?

    Election Postponed Beyond Expiration leads by 58 pts · 3 candidates at 5%+

    1. Election Postponed Beyond Expiration#170%
    2. Lebanese Forces#212%
    3. Amal Movement#311%
    #4 FPM5%#5 Hezbollah4%+5 more
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2028
    Volume
    $28.9K
    24h
    $0
    Candidates
    10
    kalshi1 venue · 10 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Election Postponed Beyond Expiration70%
    • Lebanese Forces12%
    • Amal Movement11%
    • FPM5%
    • Hezbollah4%
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    Signals

    2 signals
    1. FPM24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Hezbollah24h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Election Postponed Beyond Expiration$8.2K vol70%▼ 2kalshi74¢76¢ after fees
    Lebanese Forces$12.3K vol12%—kalshi16¢17¢ after fees
    Amal Movement$6.6K vol11%▼ 2kalshi15¢16¢ after fees
    FPM$430 vol5%▼ 4kalshi9¢10¢ after fees
    Hezbollah$1.3K vol4%▼ 3kalshi7¢8¢ after fees
    Independence Movement$1 vol2%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Marada Movement$1 vol2%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Kataeb$1 vol2%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    PSP$1 vol2%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees
    Tashnag$2 vol2%▼ 2kalshi4¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, January 1, 2028
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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