International

    Lai Ching-te departure announced?

    Before January 1, 2028 leads by 17 pts · 2 candidates at 5%+

    1. Before January 1, 2028#128%
    2. Before July 1, 2027#211%
    3. Before January 1, 2027#34%
    Resolves
    Jan 1, 2028
    Volume
    $18.6K
    24h
    $0
    Candidates
    3
    kalshi1 venue · 3 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Before January 1, 202828%
    • Before July 1, 202711%
    • Before January 1, 20274%
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    Signals

    3 signals
    1. Before January 1, 202824h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Before July 1, 202724h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Before January 1, 202724h
      ▼ 3¢ in 24hkalshi

    Every candidate, every venue

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Before January 1, 2028$4.5K vol28%▼ 4kalshi31¢33¢ after fees
    Before July 1, 2027$10.9K vol11%▼ 4kalshi15¢16¢ after fees
    Before January 1, 2027$3.1K vol4%▼ 3kalshi6¢7¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Smart money

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    In the news

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, January 1, 2028
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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