TRADING OPEN

    KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $16.8K

    +$13 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    30¢

    Republican 20-25%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -10¢

    Republican 30-35%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 20-25%
    		30¢30¢
    $5.1K+$4 24h
    		——
    2
    Republican 25-30%
    		21¢21¢
    $2.8K
    		-4¢—
    3
    Republican 15-20%
    		14¢14¢
    $1.9K
    		-2¢—
    4
    Republican 30-35%
    		12¢12¢
    $1.5K
    		-10¢—
    5
    Republican 45%+
    		7¢7¢
    $680
    		-7¢—
    6
    Republican 35-40%
    		6¢6¢
    $1.4K
    		-1¢—
    7
    Republican 0-5%
    		5¢5¢
    $483
    		-1¢—
    8
    Republican 5-15%
    		3¢3¢
    $1.4K
    		-1¢—
    9
    Republican 40-45%
    		2¢2¢
    $975+$9 24h
    		-3¢—
    10
    Democrat Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $560
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 20-25%
    30%
    30¢—
    2Republican 25-30%
    21%
    21¢-4¢
    3Republican 15-20%
    14%
    14¢-2¢
    4Republican 30-35%
    12%
    12¢-10¢
    5Republican 45%+
    7¢-7¢
    6Republican 35-40%
    6¢-1¢
    7Republican 0-5%
    5¢-1¢
    8Republican 5-15%
    3¢-1¢
    9Republican 40-45%
    2¢-3¢
    10Democrat Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~28 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $16.8K

    Whale Activity

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