TRADING OPEN

    KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $32.0K

    +$574 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    28¢

    Republican 20-25%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -9¢

    Republican 20-25%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    128¢28¢
    $11.3K+$548 24h
    -9¢—
    223¢23¢
    $7.8K+$26 24h
    -1¢—
    313¢13¢
    $2.9K
    -2¢—
    49¢9¢
    $3.1K
    -2¢—
    55¢5¢
    $2.4K
    -4¢—
    65¢5¢
    $1.6K
    -3¢—
    72¢2¢
    $587
    -2¢—
    82¢2¢
    $701
    -1¢—
    91¢1¢
    $995
    -1¢—
    101¢1¢
    $768
    ——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 20-25%
    28%
    28¢-9¢
    2Republican 25-30%
    23%
    23¢-1¢
    3Republican 15-20%
    13%
    13¢-2¢
    4Republican 30-35%
    9¢-2¢
    5Republican 5-15%
    5¢-4¢
    6Republican 35-40%
    5¢-3¢
    7Republican 0-5%
    2¢-2¢
    8Republican 45%+
    2¢-1¢
    9Republican 40-45%
    1¢-1¢
    10Democrat Wins
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $32.0K

    Whale Activity

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