TRADING OPEN

    KY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $14.9K

    +$425 (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    39¢

    Democrat 30-35%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -12¢

    Democrat 25-30%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Democrat 30-35% Hot
    		39¢39¢
    $2.5K+$313 24h
    		+11¢—
    2
    Democrat 25-30%📈 Trending
    		33¢33¢
    $4.1K+$84 24h
    		-12¢—
    3
    Democrat 35-40%
    		11¢11¢
    $2.9K
    		-6¢—
    4
    Democrat 15-20% Hot
    		5¢5¢
    $1.1K
    		-5¢—
    5
    Democrat 20-25% Hot
    		4¢4¢
    $861+$21 24h
    		——
    6
    Democrat 45%+ Hot
    		2¢2¢
    $577
    		-1¢—
    7
    Democrat 40-45% Hot
    		2¢2¢
    $976+$8 24h
    		-7¢—
    8
    Democrat 5-15%
    		1¢1¢
    $722
    		——
    9
    Democrat 0-5%
    		1¢1¢
    $723
    		——
    10
    Republican Wins
    		0¢0¢
    $503
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Democrat 30-35%
    39%
    39¢+11¢
    2Democrat 25-30%
    33%
    33¢-12¢
    3Democrat 35-40%
    11¢-6¢
    4Democrat 15-20%
    5¢-5¢
    5Democrat 20-25%
    4¢—
    6Democrat 45%+
    2¢-1¢
    7Democrat 40-45%
    2¢-7¢
    8Democrat 5-15%
    1¢—
    9Democrat 0-5%
    1¢—
    10Republican Wins
    0¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~21 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $14.9K

    Whale Activity

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