TRADING OPEN

    KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $26.1K

    +$1.7K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    24¢

    Republican 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -11¢

    Republican 40-45%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 35-40%
    		24¢24¢
    $4.2K+$200 24h
    		——
    2
    Republican 30-35%
    		24¢24¢
    $4.8K+$288 24h
    		——
    3
    Republican 25-30%
    		18¢18¢
    $4.9K+$42 24h
    		-2¢—
    4
    Republican 50%+
    		14¢14¢
    $1.2K+$40 24h
    		-9¢—
    5
    Republican 40-45%
    		14¢14¢
    $5.8K+$946 24h
    		-11¢—
    6
    Republican 20-25%
    		10¢10¢
    $1.2K+$65 24h
    		+7¢—
    7
    Republican 45-50%
    		4¢4¢
    $1.4K+$20 24h
    		-4¢—
    8
    Republican 10-20%
    		1¢1¢
    $1.0K+$20 24h
    		——
    9
    Republican 0-10%
    		1¢1¢
    $799+$20 24h
    		——
    10
    Democrat Wins
    		1¢1¢
    $769+$20 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 35-40%
    24%
    24¢—
    2Republican 30-35%
    24%
    24¢—
    3Republican 25-30%
    18%
    18¢-2¢
    4Republican 50%+
    14%
    14¢-9¢
    5Republican 40-45%
    14%
    14¢-11¢
    6Republican 20-25%
    10¢+7¢
    7Republican 45-50%
    4¢-4¢
    8Republican 10-20%
    1¢—
    9Republican 0-10%
    1¢—
    10Democrat Wins
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~12 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $26.1K

    Whale Activity

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