TRADING OPEN

    KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $21.8K

    +$1.0K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    29¢

    Republican 30-35%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -10¢

    Republican 25-30%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 30-35%
    		29¢29¢
    $4.0K+$60 24h
    		-6¢—
    2
    Republican 35-40%
    		28¢28¢
    $3.4K+$80 24h
    		-2¢—
    3
    Republican 40-45%
    		16¢16¢
    $3.8K+$64 24h
    		+2¢—
    4
    Republican 25-30%📈 Trending
    		14¢14¢
    $4.6K+$804 24h
    		-10¢—
    5
    Republican 50%+
    		4¢4¢
    $1.1K
    		-4¢—
    6
    Republican 45-50%
    		4¢4¢
    $1.3K
    		-4¢—
    7
    Republican 20-25%
    		2¢2¢
    $1.1K
    		-1¢—
    8
    Republican 10-20%
    		1¢1¢
    $903
    		——
    9
    Republican 0-10%
    		1¢1¢
    $779
    		——
    10
    Democrat Wins
    		1¢1¢
    $749
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 30-35%
    29%
    29¢-6¢
    2Republican 35-40%
    28%
    28¢-2¢
    3Republican 40-45%
    16%
    16¢+2¢
    4Republican 25-30%
    14%
    14¢-10¢
    5Republican 50%+
    4¢-4¢
    6Republican 45-50%
    4¢-4¢
    7Republican 20-25%
    2¢-1¢
    8Republican 10-20%
    1¢—
    9Republican 0-10%
    1¢—
    10Democrat Wins
    1¢—

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~20 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $21.8K

    Whale Activity

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