TRADING OPEN

    KY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $15.9K

    +$1.3K (24h)

    Active Markets

    10

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    21¢

    Republican 35-40%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -11¢

    Republican 40-45%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    10 markets
    #
    1
    Republican 35-40%📈 Trending
    		21¢21¢
    $4.4K+$146 24h
    		-8¢—
    2
    Republican 30-35%
    		19¢19¢
    $1.4K+$20 24h
    		+3¢—
    3
    Republican 45-50%
    		19¢19¢
    $2.7K
    		+1¢—
    4
    Republican 40-45% Hot
    		18¢18¢
    $3.5K+$782 24h
    		-11¢—
    5
    Democrat Wins
    		12¢12¢
    $647+$1 24h
    		+8¢—
    6
    Republican 15-25% Hot
    		11¢11¢
    $1.1K+$311 24h
    		——
    7
    Republican 50-55%
    		6¢6¢
    $420
    		-3¢—
    8
    Republican 25-30% Hot
    		5¢5¢
    $610
    		-3¢—
    9
    Republican 55%+
    		4¢4¢
    $646+$0 24h
    		-1¢—
    10
    Republican 0-15%
    		4¢4¢
    $424
    		-5¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 35-40%
    21%
    21¢-8¢
    2Republican 30-35%
    19%
    19¢+3¢
    3Republican 45-50%
    19%
    19¢+1¢
    4Republican 40-45%
    18%
    18¢-11¢
    5Democrat Wins
    12%
    12¢+8¢
    6Republican 15-25%
    11¢—
    7Republican 50-55%
    6¢-3¢
    8Republican 25-30%
    5¢-3¢
    9Republican 55%+
    4¢-1¢
    10Republican 0-15%
    4¢-5¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~23 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    10
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $15.9K

    Whale Activity

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