TRADING OPEN

    KS-04 House Election Margin of Victory

    Resolves Nov 3, 2026
    Total Volume

    $18.1K

    +$323 (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platform

    Frontrunner

    25¢

    Republican 15-20%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -10¢

    Republican 10-15%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets
    #
    125¢25¢
    $3.3K
    -1¢—
    223¢23¢
    $5.4K+$146 24h
    -10¢—
    314¢14¢
    $2.5K+$20 24h
    -1¢—
    414¢14¢
    $3.9K+$137 24h
    -8¢—
    512¢12¢
    $617+$20 24h
    ——
    65¢5¢
    $997
    -5¢—
    74¢4¢
    $630
    -3¢—
    83¢3¢
    $808
    -2¢—

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Republican 15-20%
    25%
    25¢-1¢
    2Republican 10-15%
    23%
    23¢-10¢
    3Republican 25-30%
    14%
    14¢-1¢
    4Republican 20-25%
    14%
    14¢-8¢
    5Republican 0-5%
    12%
    12¢—
    6Republican 5-10%
    5¢-5¢
    7Democrat Wins
    4¢-3¢
    8Republican 30%+
    3¢-2¢

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 3, 2026

    ~14 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $18.1K

    Whale Activity

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