International

    Kolkata Municipal Election Winner

    BJP leads by 80 pts · 4 candidates at 5%+

    1. BJP#188%
    2. Nationalist Congress Party (NCP)#28%
    3. Mamata Trinamool#37%
    #4 Left Front (LF)6%#5 Congress4%+2 more
    Resolves
    Jan 31, 2027
    Volume
    $4.3K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $4.6K
    Candidates
    7
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US2 venues · 7 markets

    Who’s winning

    • BJP88%
    • Nationalist Congress Party (NCP)8%
    • Mamata Trinamool7%
    • Left Front (LF)6%
    • Congress4%
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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Nationalist Congress Party (NCP)24h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    2. Mamata Trinamool24h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hkalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    3. BJP24h
      ▼ 4¢ in 24hPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USkalshi
    4. Mamata Trinamool24h
      5¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US
    5. Congress24h
      4¢ apart across venueskalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US

    Every candidate, every venue

    2 venues
    ChanceBest
    BJP$3.0K vol88%▼ 4kalshi93¢94¢ after fees
    Nationalist Congress Party (NCP)$323 vol8%▼ 9Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢15¢ after fees
    Mamata Trinamool$415 vol · 5¢ apart7%▼ 7kalshi10¢11¢ after fees
    Left Front (LF)$283 vol6%▼ 4Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US10¢10¢ after fees
    Congress$255 vol · 4¢ apart4%▼ 3kalshi5¢6¢ after fees
    Ritabrata Trinamool$0 vol4%▼ 2kalshi6¢7¢ after fees
    CPM$0 vol3%▼ 2kalshi5¢6¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Kalshi
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If BJP wins the most wards in the next Kolkata Municipal Corporation election, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    Municipal elections are to be scheduled to be held for the Kolkata Municipal Corporation, India, in December 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or listed alliance that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Kolkata municipal elections. The “Left Front” alliance will include all seats won by Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)), Communist Party of India (CPI), All India For…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Municipal elections are to be scheduled to be held for the Kolkata Municipal Corporation, India, in December 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or listed alliance that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Kolkata municipal elections. The “Left Front” alliance will include all seats won by Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)), Communist Party of India (CPI), All India Forward Bloc (AIFB), Revolutionary Socialist Party (RSP), Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation (CPI(ML)L), Revolutionary Communist Party of India (RCPI), Marxist Forward Bloc (MFB). Independent candidates will not be considered for resolution. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple listed parties or alliances for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the listed party or alliance that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed party or alliance whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or alliance in the Kolkata Municipal Corporation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Kolkata, West Bengal, and Indian governments, including the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in).

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, January 31, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 2 venues

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