Jon Ossoff announces a presidential run by...?

    Before Oct 1, 2027 leads by 14 pts · 7 candidates at 5%+

    1. Before Oct 1, 2027#156%
    2. Before Jul 1, 2027#242%
    3. Before Jun 1, 2027#337%
    Resolves
    Oct 1, 2027
    Volume
    $32.7K
    24h
    $1.8K
    Liquidity
    $30.6K
    Candidates
    8
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US3 venues · 8 markets

    Who’s winning

    • Before Oct 1, 202756%
    • Before Jul 1, 202742%
    • Before Jun 1, 202737%
    • Before May 1, 202731%
    • Before Apr 1, 202721%
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    Signals

    5 signals
    1. Before Jun 1, 202724h
      ▼ 9¢ in 24hkalshi
    2. Before May 1, 202724h
      ▼ 8¢ in 24hkalshi
    3. Before Mar 1, 202724h
      ▼ 7¢ in 24hkalshi
    4. Before Apr 1, 202724h
      11¢ apart across venuesPolymarket USkalshi
    5. Before Jul 1, 202724h
      7¢ apart across venuesPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket US

    Every candidate, every venue

    3 venues
    ChanceBest
    Before Oct 1, 2027$5.0K vol56%▼ 6kalshi60¢62¢ after fees
    Before Jul 1, 2027$11.9K vol · 7¢ apart42%▼ 3kalshi47¢49¢ after fees
    Before Jun 1, 2027$77 vol37%▼ 9kalshi41¢43¢ after fees
    Before May 1, 2027$1.4K vol31%▼ 8kalshi35¢37¢ after fees
    Before Apr 1, 2027$12.2K vol · 11¢ apart21%▼ 2Polymarket US11¢fee unknown
    Before Mar 1, 2027$651 vol14%▼ 7kalshi17¢18¢ after fees
    Before Feb 1, 2027$0 vol7%▼ 7kalshi10¢11¢ after fees
    Before Jan 1, 2027$1.4K vol3%▼ 1kalshi4¢5¢ after fees

    Yes pays $1 if it’s right. Chance is the venues’ consensus; green marks the cheapest venue after fees, and every price opens that venue’s market.

    Where venues disagree

    Yes price
    • Before Apr 1, 202711¢buy Polymarket US
    • Before Jul 1, 20277¢buy kalshi
    • Polymarket US
    • Polymarket (global)
    • Kalshi
    • Consensus

    Same candidate, different price: buy where it’s cheapest.

    Smart money

    Biggest trades

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    In the news

    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If Jon Ossoff has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Full rules on Kalshi ↗
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jon Ossoff officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Jon Ossoff will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomin…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗
    Polymarket USPolymarket US

    Jon Ossoff Announces a Presidential Run?

    Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

    About this market

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jon Ossoff officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Jon Ossoff will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Jon Ossoff (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, October 1, 2027
    kalshiPolymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket USCompared across 3 venues

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